Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.022251 0.023900 0.025616 0.027539 0.029634 0.031852 0.034378
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019261 0.021600 0.024162 0.027186 0.030667 0.034562 0.039268
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017355 0.020100 0.023223 0.027058 0.031664 0.037050 0.043867
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015806 0.018778 0.022264 0.026684 0.032181 0.038844 0.047612
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014781 0.017949 0.021763 0.026737 0.033113 0.041093 0.051969
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013745 0.017005 0.021019 0.026380 0.033434 0.042517 0.055284
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012789 0.016081 0.020216 0.025857 0.033457 0.043491 0.057998
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.012068 0.015406 0.019675 0.025615 0.033797 0.044861 0.061291
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011424 0.014786 0.019158 0.025355 0.034066 0.046113 0.064459
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010740 0.014071 0.018468 0.024803 0.033874 0.046675 0.066622
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010401 0.013802 0.018360 0.025042 0.034797 0.048861 0.071323
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.010011 0.013438 0.018099 0.025038 0.035351 0.050520 0.075308
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009739 0.013231 0.018048 0.025338 0.036378 0.052957 0.080715
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009302 0.012767 0.017609 0.025042 0.036484 0.053983 0.083920
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008953 0.012413 0.017309 0.024932 0.036856 0.055434 0.087909
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008564 0.011984 0.016877 0.024594 0.036847 0.056260 0.090885
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008310 0.011740 0.016705 0.024642 0.037444 0.058092 0.095711
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007972 0.011357 0.016309 0.024317 0.037414 0.058875 0.098725
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007618 0.010935 0.015834 0.023843 0.037108 0.059166 0.100855
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007349 0.010632 0.015528 0.023623 0.037208 0.060146 0.104312
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007092 0.010337 0.015222 0.023386 0.037263 0.061044 0.107664
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006787 0.009957 0.014768 0.022885 0.036836 0.061057 0.109306
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006664 0.009856 0.014750 0.023102 0.037660 0.063351 0.115569